NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH SBON
Points 68.4 67.3
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.1
Shooting RICH SBON
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 57.0
Field Goal % 46.1% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 15.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.3%
Ball Control RICH SBON
Rebounds 30.8 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 4.8 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 12.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH SBON
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 66.9
% of Possessions with RICH SBON
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 17.8%
Turnover 13.6% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH SBON
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 15.3% 26.0%