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Richmond vs. Miss State
Sat Nov 27, 2021
12:30pm ET
Nassau,
(Neutral Site)
Richmond vs. Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 2.5, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | RICH | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-11-1 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-6-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 12-4-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 11-9-0 |
Richmond Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | VMI | -17.5 | W by 18 | +0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Siena | -12.5 | W by 42 | +29.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Colorado | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | UNLV | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Queens | -12.5 | W by 29 | +16.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wichita St | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wm & Mary | -15.5 | W by 19 | +3.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | N Iowa | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Florida | +11.0 | L by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Buffalo | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lafayette | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Bonavent | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Geo Mason | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Duquesne | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Davidson | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Dayton | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Fordham | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 11 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | La Salle | -10.5 | W by 17 | +6.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | U Mass | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Rhode Island | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Davidson | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Saint Louis | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | VCU | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | St Josephs | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Geo Mason | +2.0 | L by 18 | -16.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | St Josephs | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 03/19 | Away | VA Tech | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2919 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1703 times (58.3%).
- The team like Richmond won the game 1216 times (41.7%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1469-1402-48 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4246 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 2083-2077-86 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/27 12:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:19 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:13 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:58 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:17 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/27 10:17 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/27 09:19 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 06:01 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 11:52 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/26 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/26 05:11 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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