NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH MSST
Points 66.6 69.9
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 21.5
Points From Free Throws 10.9 11.6
Shooting RICH MSST
Field Goals Made 24.5 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 58.5
Field Goal % 44.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 10.9 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 17.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 65.5%
Ball Control RICH MSST
Rebounds 29.2 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 4.7 11.9
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.6
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 13.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH MSST
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 70.1
% of Possessions with RICH MSST
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 27.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 19.1%
Turnover 14.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH MSST
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 14.4% 32.8%