NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH GW
Points 75.3 68.2
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 26.5
Points From Free Throws 10.1 12.2
Shooting RICH GW
Field Goals Made 28.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 58.5
Field Goal % 46.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 10.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 16.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.4%
Ball Control RICH GW
Rebounds 34.9 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 7.7
Turnovers 7.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 6.0 4.1
Fouls 11.8 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH GW
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.2
% of Possessions with RICH GW
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.6%
Turnover 9.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH GW
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 20.9%