NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH MASS
Points 69.3 68.1
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 19.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.5
Shooting RICH MASS
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 60.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 68.2%
Ball Control RICH MASS
Rebounds 31.8 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 12.6
Turnovers 9.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 13.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH MASS
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 72.0
% of Possessions with RICH MASS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.2%
Turnover 13.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH MASS
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.9% 32.4%