NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH DAV
Points 67.7 63.8
Total Points   131.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 20.8
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.5
Shooting RICH DAV
Field Goals Made 24.1 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 57.1
Field Goal % 44.4% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 15.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.6%
Ball Control RICH DAV
Rebounds 33.1 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 8.5
Turnovers 8.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.9
Steals 5.8 4.7
Fouls 13.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH DAV
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 66.7
% of Possessions with RICH DAV
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 30.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.1%
Turnover 12.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH DAV
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 15.6% 23.4%