NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR QUIN
Points 75.6 76.9
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 23.2
Points From Free Throws 12.2 10.9
Shooting FAIR QUIN
Field Goals Made 26.8 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 60.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 12.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 14.3
Free Throw % 74.0% 76.5%
Ball Control FAIR QUIN
Rebounds 31.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.0
Turnovers 9.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 7.8 5.6
Fouls 11.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR QUIN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 70.2
% of Possessions with FAIR QUIN
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 26.7%
Player Fouled 18.3% 15.8%
Turnover 13.2% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR QUIN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 33.0%