NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR RID
Points 74.4 72.2
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 18.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.0
Shooting FAIR RID
Field Goals Made 25.4 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 57.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 15.8
Free Throw % 74.0% 76.3%
Ball Control FAIR RID
Rebounds 32.2 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.8
Turnovers 8.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.2
Steals 8.3 4.7
Fouls 12.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR RID
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 67.7
% of Possessions with FAIR RID
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 21.4%
Player Fouled 19.6% 18.1%
Turnover 11.8% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR RID
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 30.3%