NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR IONA
Points 73.8 72.3
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 25.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 9.2
Shooting FAIR IONA
Field Goals Made 25.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 59.3
Field Goal % 46.8% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 13.6 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 13.9
Free Throw % 74.0% 66.3%
Ball Control FAIR IONA
Rebounds 33.3 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.6
Turnovers 11.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.7
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 11.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR IONA
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 68.3
% of Possessions with FAIR IONA
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 31.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 16.9%
Turnover 16.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR IONA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 27.6%