NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR CAN
Points 73.6 69.5
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 21.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 7.5
Shooting FAIR CAN
Field Goals Made 27.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 58.9
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 11.2 7.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 12.6
Free Throw % 74.0% 59.8%
Ball Control FAIR CAN
Rebounds 31.2 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.8
Turnovers 8.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.0
Steals 7.6 4.4
Fouls 11.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR CAN
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 68.1
% of Possessions with FAIR CAN
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 15.8%
Turnover 12.1% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR CAN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 34.1%