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Fairfield at Niagara
Sun Dec 5, 2021
1:00pm ET
Niagara Falls, NY
Fairfield at Niagara: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Niagara by 3.5, Total Points: 126.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FAIR | adv | NIAG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-1 | 17-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-13-1 | 13-5-0 |
Fairfield Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Boston Col | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Rhode Island | +10.5 | L by 13 | -2.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Mount Saint Mary College | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Drexel | +9.5 | L by 18 | -8.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Queens | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Hampshire | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Iona | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Rider | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Yale | +16.5 | W by 4 | +20.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Wagner | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | F Dickinson | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Le Moyne | -9.5 | W by 6 | -3.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Siena | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Marist | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Niagara | -2.0 | L by 24 | -26.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Canisius | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Manhattan | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Quinnipiac | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iona | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Manhattan | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Rider | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Niagara | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Mt St Marys | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Quinnipiac | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Siena | -17.5 | W by 24 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Marist | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Canisius | -9.0 | W by 12 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Mt St Marys | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Iona | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Marist | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | St Peters | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Chicago St | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Seattle | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
Niagara Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Notre Dame | +10.0 | L by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Bucknell | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Hawaii | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | St Peters | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Quinnipiac | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | St Bonavent | +6.5 | L by 34 | -27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Buffalo State | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | NJIT | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Binghamton | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Syracuse | +17.0 | L by 12 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Buffalo | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Manhattan | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Iona | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Fairfield | +2.0 | W by 24 | +26.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Siena | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Rider | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Mt St Marys | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Marist | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Manhattan | -9.5 | L by 6 | -15.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | St Peters | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Canisius | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iona | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Fairfield | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Quinnipiac | +8.0 | W by 14 | +22.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Canisius | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Rider | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Mt St Marys | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Siena | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Marist | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Siena | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Marist | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| NIAG -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3083 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Niagara won the game 1907 times (61.9%).
- The team like Fairfield won the game 1176 times (38.1%).
- The team like Niagara did better against the spread, going 1530-1496-57 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4321 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fairfield did better against the spread, going 2125-2109-87 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -4.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/05 11:37 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:40 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:25 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:52 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/05 05:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/05 05:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 03:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/05 03:46 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/04 09:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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