NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR MD
Points 62.7 73.9
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 19.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.5
Shooting FAIR MD
Field Goals Made 22.1 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 55.0
Field Goal % 38.3% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 19.8
Free Throw % 74.0% 73.1%
Ball Control FAIR MD
Rebounds 29.4 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.7
Turnovers 10.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.0
Steals 6.7 5.0
Fouls 14.8 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fairfield

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR MD
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 67.9
% of Possessions with FAIR MD
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.3% 21.6%
Turnover 14.9% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR MD
Shot Blocked 7.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 33.9%