NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU COLO
Points 69.1 78.5
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 21.7
Points From Free Throws 11.2 16.1
Shooting ASU COLO
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 55.3
Field Goal % 43.4% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 11.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 21.2
Free Throw % 65.3% 76.0%
Ball Control ASU COLO
Rebounds 28.0 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 8.8
Turnovers 8.6 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.5
Steals 8.2 5.0
Fouls 15.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU COLO
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 68.1
% of Possessions with ASU COLO
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 22.0%
Turnover 11.9% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU COLO
Shot Blocked 2.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 29.1%