NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU STAN
Points 71.9 74.5
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 26.8
Points From Free Throws 10.8 13.1
Shooting ASU STAN
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 56.6
Field Goal % 42.7% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 10.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 17.7
Free Throw % 65.3% 73.9%
Ball Control ASU STAN
Rebounds 33.0 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.1
Turnovers 9.2 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.1
Steals 8.4 4.6
Fouls 15.0 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU STAN
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 67.5
% of Possessions with ASU STAN
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 30.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 20.1%
Turnover 12.4% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU STAN
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 21.8%