NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU WSU
Points 62.2 72.1
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.0
Shooting ASU WSU
Field Goals Made 22.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.0
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 19.7
Free Throw % 65.3% 71.0%
Ball Control ASU WSU
Rebounds 30.1 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 10.7
Turnovers 8.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.3
Steals 6.6 4.2
Fouls 15.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU WSU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 69.5
% of Possessions with ASU WSU
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.4%
Turnover 12.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU WSU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.6% 31.2%