NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU ORE
Points 67.7 75.4
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 23.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.8
Shooting ASU ORE
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 58.3
Field Goal % 42.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.4
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.9%
Ball Control ASU ORE
Rebounds 32.3 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.5
Turnovers 10.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.8
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 15.7 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU ORE
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 70.6
% of Possessions with ASU ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.8%
Turnover 13.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU ORE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 27.4%