NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU FLA
Points 68.4 87.6
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 24.6
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.1
Shooting ASU FLA
Field Goals Made 22.5 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 64.0
Field Goal % 37.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 25.2
Free Throw % 75.6% 71.7%
Ball Control ASU FLA
Rebounds 28.6 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 17.0
Turnovers 10.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.2
Steals 5.5 7.1
Fouls 15.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU FLA
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 80.6
% of Possessions with ASU FLA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 24.0% 21.0%
Turnover 14.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU FLA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 45.3%