NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU FLA
Points 68.5 88.7
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 32.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.6
Shooting ASU FLA
Field Goals Made 23.0 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 63.8
Field Goal % 38.1% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.9
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.2%
Ball Control ASU FLA
Rebounds 32.7 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.3
Turnovers 10.8 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.9
Steals 4.3 7.1
Fouls 14.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU FLA
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 77.5
% of Possessions with ASU FLA
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 33.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.0%
Turnover 14.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU FLA
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 33.8%