NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU URI
Points 76.3 69.5
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 21.2
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.2
Shooting ASU URI
Field Goals Made 27.8 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.9
Free Throw % 65.3% 66.1%
Ball Control ASU URI
Rebounds 33.9 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.8
Turnovers 7.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.7 1.8
Steals 8.1 3.8
Fouls 16.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU URI
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 67.6
% of Possessions with ASU URI
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 24.8%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.3%
Turnover 10.1% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU URI
Shot Blocked 3.3% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 25.6%