NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU UTAH
Points 69.2 77.8
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 30.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 11.4
Shooting ASU UTAH
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 60.8
Field Goal % 40.0% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.5 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 17.9
Free Throw % 65.3% 63.4%
Ball Control ASU UTAH
Rebounds 34.5 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.2
Turnovers 8.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 7.3 4.7
Fouls 15.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU UTAH
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 71.7
% of Possessions with ASU UTAH
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 32.1%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.2%
Turnover 11.1% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU UTAH
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 25.4%