NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU ARIZ
Points 66.7 84.3
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 23.6
Points From Free Throws 11.1 17.7
Shooting ASU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 24.5 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 60.5
Field Goal % 39.6% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 11.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 24.9
Free Throw % 65.3% 71.0%
Ball Control ASU ARIZ
Rebounds 29.9 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.9
Turnovers 10.9 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 7.6 6.8
Fouls 16.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU ARIZ
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 76.0
% of Possessions with ASU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.9%
Turnover 14.3% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 33.8%