NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST MOSU
Points 78.4 75.3
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 22.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.1
Shooting INST MOSU
Field Goals Made 26.3 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 54.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 27.1 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 62.9% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.9
Free Throw % 75.1% 61.9%
Ball Control INST MOSU
Rebounds 30.7 31.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.4
Turnovers 14.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.5
Steals 6.7 7.6
Fouls 16.5 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST MOSU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 68.7
% of Possessions with INST MOSU
2 Point Attempt 33.5% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 23.7% 22.8%
Turnover 19.3% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST MOSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.9%