NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST MOSU
Points 76.1 76.5
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.4
Shooting INST MOSU
Field Goals Made 28.0 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 60.1
Field Goal % 51.7% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 66.0% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 21.3
Free Throw % 67.4% 67.4%
Ball Control INST MOSU
Rebounds 32.2 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.9
Turnovers 12.2 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.8
Steals 4.8 7.5
Fouls 14.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST MOSU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 72.6
% of Possessions with INST MOSU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 25.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.1%
Turnover 17.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST MOSU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 30.4%