NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST BALL
Points 89.0 69.4
Total Points   158.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 21.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.9
Shooting INST BALL
Field Goals Made 31.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 57.0
Field Goal % 54.2% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 66.6% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.9
Free Throw % 80.7% 77.8%
Ball Control INST BALL
Rebounds 35.1 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.6
Turnovers 9.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.8
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 16.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST BALL
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 68.1
% of Possessions with INST BALL
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 24.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.9%
Turnover 13.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST BALL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 18.7%