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Indiana St at Valparaiso
Sat Jan 18, 2020
8:00pm ET
Valparaiso, IN
Indiana St at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pick'em (0), Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | INST | adv | VALP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-15-1 | 18-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-4-1 | 6-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-11-0 | 12-3-0 |
Indiana St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Alabama | +17.0 | L by 22 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Rice | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Toledo | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | S Illinois | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Bradley | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | N Illinois | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Indiana | -21.0 | W by 44 | +23.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ball St | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | TN State | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Michigan St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Evansville | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Drake | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Belmont | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | IL-Chicago | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bradley | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Belmont | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Drake | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Valparaiso | -20.5 | W by 40 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Illinois St | -17.5 | L by 13 | -30.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Illinois | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Evansville | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Murray St | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Missouri St | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | N Iowa | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Drake | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 04/02 | Neutral | Utah | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
| INST +1.5 | Open | +1.0 | High | +1.0 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 990 games where the closing line favored the home team by -1 to 1 points. In these games:
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 489 times (49.4%).
- The team like Indiana St. won the game 501 times (50.6%).
- The team like Indiana St. did better against the spread, going 487-474-29 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3161 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1552-1549-60 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | (Pick) | -- | (Pick) |
| Open | +1.5 | -- | +1.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 07:50 PM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:15 PM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 01/18 06:46 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:53 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:06 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:55 PM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 01/17 09:50 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
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