NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST VALP
Points 88.7 66.8
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 8.7
Shooting INST VALP
Field Goals Made 31.6 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 62.4
Field Goal % 55.6% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 67.4% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.9% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 8.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 12.3
Free Throw % 80.7% 70.2%
Ball Control INST VALP
Rebounds 38.2 28.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.6
Turnovers 10.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.2
Steals 5.2 5.3
Fouls 12.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST VALP
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 70.3
% of Possessions with INST VALP
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 26.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.0%
Turnover 14.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST VALP
Shot Blocked 5.2% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 19.3%