NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST LMU
Points 86.0 70.1
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.9 9.9
Shooting INST LMU
Field Goals Made 30.6 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.2
Field Goal % 53.2% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 64.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.9 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 13.4
Free Throw % 80.7% 73.7%
Ball Control INST LMU
Rebounds 33.0 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 8.6
Turnovers 7.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.9
Steals 4.7 3.1
Fouls 12.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST LMU
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 68.6
% of Possessions with INST LMU
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 21.3% 18.6%
Turnover 10.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST LMU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 24.3%