NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST WIGB
Points 86.5 70.1
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 25.5
Points From Free Throws 17.5 10.0
Shooting INST WIGB
Field Goals Made 29.8 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 57.5
Field Goal % 54.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 72.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 14.0
Free Throw % 80.7% 71.5%
Ball Control INST WIGB
Rebounds 33.6 27.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 6.2
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.8
Steals 5.1 4.0
Fouls 14.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST WIGB
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 66.0
% of Possessions with INST WIGB
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 32.4%
Player Fouled 24.2% 20.2%
Turnover 12.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 18.4%