NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST EVAN
Points 84.7 68.5
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 20.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 10.0
Shooting INST EVAN
Field Goals Made 28.6 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.1
Field Goal % 50.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 25.6 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 64.4% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.2 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 14.4
Free Throw % 80.7% 69.9%
Ball Control INST EVAN
Rebounds 36.3 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.0
Turnovers 11.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.8
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 14.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST EVAN
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 67.9
% of Possessions with INST EVAN
2 Point Attempt 32.0% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 38.7% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.7%
Turnover 15.3% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST EVAN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 16.7%