NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST L-IL
Points 78.5 73.2
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 23.3
Points From Free Throws 17.9 11.4
Shooting INST L-IL
Field Goals Made 25.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 58.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 17.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 16.8
Free Throw % 80.7% 67.6%
Ball Control INST L-IL
Rebounds 33.8 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 7.1
Turnovers 11.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.0
Steals 5.5 6.7
Fouls 15.4 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST L-IL
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 69.2
% of Possessions with INST L-IL
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 26.8%
Player Fouled 25.4% 21.1%
Turnover 16.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST L-IL
Shot Blocked 8.6% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 20.4%