ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv UVA
Season 21-15-0 17-16-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-10-0 11-10-1
Streak W2 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 3-7-0
Home 8-7-0 10-6-1
Away 13-8-0 7-10-0

N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Radford -18.5 W by 16 -2.5
11/12 Home Lehigh -24.0 W by 22 -2.0
11/17 Home UC Riverside -23.5 W by 25 +1.5
11/22 Neutral N Iowa -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
11/23 Neutral Villanova -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
11/24 Neutral Arkansas -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
11/29 Home Tennessee -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/02 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
12/05 Neutral Connecticut +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
12/16 Neutral Kentucky -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
12/20 Neutral Oklahoma -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/29 Home Charl South -30.5 W by 45 +14.5
01/02 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 13 +9.0
01/06 Away Clemson +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
01/10 Away NC State -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
01/13 Home Syracuse -12.0 W by 36 +24.0
01/17 Home Louisville -21.0 W by 16 -5.0
01/20 Away Boston Col -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
01/22 Home Wake Forest -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
01/27 Away Florida St -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/30 Away GA Tech -8.5 L by 1 -9.5
02/03 Home Duke -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
02/06 Home Clemson -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/10 Away Miami -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
02/13 Away Syracuse -8.0 L by 7 -15.0
02/17 Home VA Tech -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
02/24 Away Virginia -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/26 Home Miami -14.0 W by 4 -10.0
03/02 Home NC State -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
03/05 Home Notre Dame -16.0 W by 33 +17.0
03/09 Away Duke +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
03/14 Neutral Florida St -11.0 W by 25 +14.0
03/15 Neutral Pittsburgh -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/16 Neutral NC State -10.0 L by 8 -18.0
03/21 Neutral Wagner -25.5 W by 28 +2.5
03/23 Neutral Michigan St -4.0 W by 16 +12.0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Tarleton St -17.0 W by 30 +13.0
11/10 Neutral Florida +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
11/14 Home NC A&T -30.5 W by 29 -1.5
11/16 Home TX Southern -22.5 W by 29 +6.5
11/20 Neutral Wisconsin -3.5 L by 24 -27.5
11/22 Neutral W Virginia -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
11/29 Home Texas A&M -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/02 Home Syracuse -10.5 W by 22 +11.5
12/05 Home NC Central -24.5 W by 30 +5.5
12/16 Home Northeastrn -16.0 W by 2 -14.0
12/19 Away Memphis +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
12/27 Home Morgan St -26.5 W by 35 +8.5
12/30 Away Notre Dame -9.5 L by 22 -31.5
01/03 Home Louisville -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
01/06 Away NC State +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
01/13 Away Wake Forest +6.0 L by 19 -13.0
01/17 Home VA Tech -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
01/20 Away GA Tech -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/24 Home NC State -6.0 W by 6 0.0
01/27 Away Louisville -9.0 W by 17 +8.0
01/31 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
02/03 Away Clemson +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/05 Home Miami -5.5 W by 22 +16.5
02/10 Away Florida St -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/13 Home Pittsburgh -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/17 Home Wake Forest -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/19 Away VA Tech +3.5 L by 34 -30.5
02/24 Home N Carolina +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Boston Col -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
03/02 Away Duke +10.0 L by 25 -15.0
03/09 Home GA Tech -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
03/14 Neutral Boston Col -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
03/15 Neutral NC State -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
03/19 Neutral Colorado St +2.5 L by 25 -22.5
UVA -4.5 Open -5.0 High -5.0
Last -5.0 Low -4.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2692 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Virginia won the game 1733 times (64.4%).
  • The team like North Carolina won the game 959 times (35.6%).
  • The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1346-1282-64 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2729 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1378-1300-51 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.0 -4.5 -4.0
Open -4.5 -4.5 -4.5
History
12/08 04:04 PM -- -4.5 --
12/08 03:55 PM -4.0 -- --
12/08 03:55 PM -- -- -4.0
12/08 03:18 PM -5.0 -- --
12/08 03:06 PM -- -- -4.5
12/08 03:04 PM -- -4.5 --
12/08 11:25 AM -- -- -5.0
12/08 11:04 AM -- -5.0 --
12/08 10:52 AM -5.0 -- --
12/08 10:45 AM -- -- -4.0
12/08 10:38 AM -4.5 -- --
12/08 09:32 AM -4.0 -- --
12/08 05:58 AM -4.0 -- --
12/08 02:06 AM -4.0 -- --
12/08 01:35 AM -- -- -4.5
12/07 10:09 PM -4.5 -- --
12/07 06:34 PM -- -4.5 --
12/07 06:19 PM -4.5 -- --