NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNC VT
Points 79.9 70.7
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 21.7
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.1
Shooting UNC VT
Field Goals Made 28.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 58.1
Field Goal % 47.0% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 17.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 79.8%
Ball Control UNC VT
Rebounds 39.7 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 6.0
Turnovers 8.6 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 5.6 4.0
Fouls 15.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNC VT
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 68.2
% of Possessions with UNC VT
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.0%
Turnover 12.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNC VT
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 17.2%