ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv PITT
Season 21-15-0 21-9-3
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-10-0 14-6-2
Streak W2 W5
Last 5 3-2-0 5-0-0
Last 10 6-4-0 8-1-1
Home 8-7-0 11-6-1
Away 13-8-0 10-3-2

N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Radford -18.5 W by 16 -2.5
11/12 Home Lehigh -24.0 W by 22 -2.0
11/17 Home UC Riverside -23.5 W by 25 +1.5
11/22 Neutral N Iowa -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
11/23 Neutral Villanova -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
11/24 Neutral Arkansas -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
11/29 Home Tennessee -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/02 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
12/05 Neutral Connecticut +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
12/16 Neutral Kentucky -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
12/20 Neutral Oklahoma -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/29 Home Charl South -30.5 W by 45 +14.5
01/02 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 13 +9.0
01/06 Away Clemson +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
01/10 Away NC State -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
01/13 Home Syracuse -12.0 W by 36 +24.0
01/17 Home Louisville -21.0 W by 16 -5.0
01/20 Away Boston Col -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
01/22 Home Wake Forest -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
01/27 Away Florida St -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/30 Away GA Tech -8.5 L by 1 -9.5
02/03 Home Duke -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
02/06 Home Clemson -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/10 Away Miami -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
02/13 Away Syracuse -8.0 L by 7 -15.0
02/17 Home VA Tech -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
02/24 Away Virginia -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/26 Home Miami -14.0 W by 4 -10.0
03/02 Home NC State -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
03/05 Home Notre Dame -16.0 W by 33 +17.0
03/09 Away Duke +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
03/14 Neutral Florida St -11.0 W by 25 +14.0
03/15 Neutral Pittsburgh -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/16 Neutral NC State -10.0 L by 8 -18.0
03/21 Neutral Wagner -25.5 W by 28 +2.5
03/23 Neutral Michigan St -4.0 W by 16 +12.0

Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home NC A&T -23.5 W by 48 +24.5
11/10 Home Binghamton -17.5 W by 29 +11.5
11/13 Home Fla Gulf Cst -10.0 W by 12 +2.0
11/17 Home Jacksonville -16.0 W by 51 +35.0
11/22 Neutral Florida +5.0 L by 15 -10.0
11/24 Neutral Oregon St -10.0 W by 25 +15.0
11/28 Home Missouri -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
12/03 Home Clemson -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
12/06 Away W Virginia -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
12/09 Home Canisius -17.5 W by 11 -6.5
12/16 Home S Car State -28.5 W by 36 +7.5
12/20 Home IPFW -14.0 W by 14 0.0
12/30 Away Syracuse +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
01/02 Home N Carolina +4.0 L by 13 -9.0
01/06 Away Louisville -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
01/09 Home Duke +5.0 L by 22 -17.0
01/16 Home Syracuse -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
01/20 Away Duke +12.5 W by 4 +16.5
01/23 Away GA Tech -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
01/27 Away Miami +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/31 Home Wake Forest -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/03 Home Notre Dame -9.0 W by 10 +1.0
02/07 Away NC State +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/13 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 11 +17.5
02/17 Home Louisville -12.5 W by 27 +14.5
02/20 Away Wake Forest +6.0 L by 33 -27.0
02/24 Home VA Tech -3.0 W by 15 +12.0
02/27 Away Clemson +7.0 L by 7 0.0
03/02 Away Boston Col -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/05 Home Florida St -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
03/09 Home NC State -6.5 W by 8 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Wake Forest +2.0 W by 12 +14.0
03/15 Neutral N Carolina +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
UNC -3.5 Open -1.5 High -3.5
Last -3.0 Low -1.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1878 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like North Carolina won the game 1131 times (60.2%).
  • The team like Pittsburgh won the game 747 times (39.8%).
  • The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 931-910-37 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 77 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 41-36 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -3.5 -3.5 -3.5
Open -2.0 -2.0 -3.0
History
01/26 06:53 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 06:26 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 05:53 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 05:23 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 03:41 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 01:41 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 12:29 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 12:11 PM -3.5 -- --
01/26 11:26 AM -3.5 -- --
01/26 10:54 AM -- -3.5 --
01/26 10:47 AM -3.5 -- --
01/26 10:45 AM -- -- -3.5
01/26 10:02 AM -3.0 -- --
01/26 09:45 AM -- -- -3.0
01/26 09:35 AM -3.0 -- --
01/26 06:28 AM -3.0 -- --
01/26 04:38 AM -3.0 -- --
01/26 12:44 AM -3.0 -- --
01/25 10:34 PM -- -3.0 --
01/25 10:25 PM -- -- -3.0
01/25 10:23 PM -3.0 -- --
01/25 09:14 PM -2.0 -2.0 --
01/25 07:14 PM -- -2.0 --
01/25 06:34 PM -- -2.0 --
01/25 06:14 PM -- -2.0 --
01/25 06:02 PM -2.0 -- --
01/25 05:44 PM -- -2.0 --
01/25 05:38 PM -2.0 -- --