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N Carolina vs. UNLV
Mon Nov 30, 2020
7:00pm ET
Asheville, NC
(Neutral Site)
N Carolina vs. UNLV: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 13.5, Total Points: 157
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | UNLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 21-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 14-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 11-4-0 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 10-7-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
UNLV Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Southern | -20.5 | L by 14 | -34.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stetson | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Pepperdine | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Richmond | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Akron | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Loyola Mymt | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Creighton | +13.5 | W by 15 | +28.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | St Marys | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Hofstra | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Carroll | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | Bethesda University | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | San Diego St | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Utah St | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Boise St | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Colorado St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Air Force | -10.5 | L by 32 | -42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Jose St | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Fresno St | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Wyoming | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New Mexico | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Fresno St | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Nevada | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Air Force | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Colorado St | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Wyoming | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | San Jose St | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Diego St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Nevada | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | San Diego St | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Princeton | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Boston Col | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Seton Hall | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| UNC -13.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 184 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 167 times (90.8%).
- The team like UNLV won the game 17 times (9.2%).
- The team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 91-87-6 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 21 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 12-9 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -12.0 | -13.5 |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 06:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:56 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:40 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:26 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:15 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 11/30 02:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 11/30 12:53 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:08 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 11/30 11:47 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 11/30 10:56 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 11/30 10:08 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 11/30 09:41 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:05 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:41 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:26 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:20 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:55 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 11/30 12:55 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 11/29 08:50 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 11/29 08:17 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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