NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD WIS
Points 67.2 69.4
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 17.3
Points From Free Throws 15.4 15.6
Shooting MD WIS
Field Goals Made 23.1 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 55.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 20.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.1%
Ball Control MD WIS
Rebounds 31.5 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 9.4
Turnovers 10.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.1
Steals 4.6 5.5
Fouls 17.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD WIS
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 67.3
% of Possessions with MD WIS
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 24.4% 25.7%
Turnover 15.7% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD WIS
Shot Blocked 3.8% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 28.0%