NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD OSU
Points 65.0 67.3
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 15.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.4
Shooting MD OSU
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.0
Field Goal % 37.9% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 20.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.2%
Ball Control MD OSU
Rebounds 36.8 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.8
Turnovers 9.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.8
Steals 4.7 4.5
Fouls 16.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD OSU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 68.4
% of Possessions with MD OSU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 21.3%
Player Fouled 23.3% 24.3%
Turnover 14.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD OSU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 27.9%