NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD MINN
Points 68.7 66.3
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 18.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.7
Shooting MD MINN
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 53.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 67.9%
Ball Control MD MINN
Rebounds 35.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.9
Turnovers 9.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.4
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 15.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD MINN
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 66.0
% of Possessions with MD MINN
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 23.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.3%
Turnover 14.4% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD MINN
Shot Blocked 8.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.1%