NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD PSU
Points 67.9 66.5
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.0 17.6
Points From Free Throws 18.3 16.0
Shooting MD PSU
Field Goals Made 22.4 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 54.8
Field Goal % 42.2% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 18.3 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 21.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.9%
Ball Control MD PSU
Rebounds 37.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.4
Turnovers 12.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 16.6 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD PSU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 67.6
% of Possessions with MD PSU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 24.9% 23.6%
Turnover 17.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD PSU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 23.8%