NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD RICH
Points 64.0 62.5
Total Points   126.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 16.8
Points From Free Throws 14.2 11.6
Shooting MD RICH
Field Goals Made 21.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 53.8
Field Goal % 38.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 16.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.6%
Ball Control MD RICH
Rebounds 39.5 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 4.9
Turnovers 9.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.8
Steals 4.5 5.1
Fouls 14.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD RICH
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 62.9
% of Possessions with MD RICH
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.7%
Turnover 14.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD RICH
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 14.7%