NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MD NW
Points 66.4 66.3
Total Points   132.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 19.5
Points From Free Throws 17.1 13.9
Shooting MD NW
Field Goals Made 21.8 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 49.8 55.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 17.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 18.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.6%
Ball Control MD NW
Rebounds 34.6 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 4.6 5.8
Fouls 16.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MD NW
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 65.9
% of Possessions with MD NW
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 23.9%
Player Fouled 25.2% 24.2%
Turnover 16.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MD NW
Shot Blocked 6.8% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 23.1%