NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS
Points 55.4 80.5
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 19.8
Points From Free Throws 10.1 16.9
Shooting WIS
Field Goals Made 19.5 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 55.3
Field Goal % 37.8% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 44.4%
Free Throws Made 10.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 22.6
Free Throw % 68.9% 75.1%
Ball Control WIS
Rebounds 26.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 10.3
Turnovers 13.4 9.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.1
Steals 4.7 6.3
Fouls 16.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 61.0 68.7
% of Possessions with WIS
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 18.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.1%
Turnover 19.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 34.6%