NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU ARMY
Points 63.3 58.6
Total Points   121.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 24.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 25.1
Points From Free Throws 12.0 9.1
Shooting BU ARMY
Field Goals Made 21.6 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 51.7
Field Goal % 40.3% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 12.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 27.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.0 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 15.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 60.0%
Ball Control BU ARMY
Rebounds 35.9 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.0
Turnovers 9.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 6.7 5.2
Fouls 14.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU ARMY
Total Possessions 64.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 60.8
% of Possessions with BU ARMY
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 33.7%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.9%
Turnover 14.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU ARMY
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 20.3%