NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU
Points 59.3 67.4
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 17.0
Points From Free Throws 10.5 13.7
Shooting CCSU
Field Goals Made 20.8 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 54.7
Field Goal % 36.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 35.7% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 10.5 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 19.1
Free Throw % 68.9% 71.4%
Ball Control CCSU
Rebounds 35.6 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.6
Turnovers 12.2 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 13.6 12.4

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 65.9
% of Possessions with CCSU
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 18.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 20.1%
Turnover 17.9% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.7%