NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY
Points 60.1 74.5
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.7
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.8
Shooting BRY
Field Goals Made 19.9 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 58.4
Field Goal % 31.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 30.6% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 18.9
Free Throw % 68.9% 67.6%
Ball Control BRY
Rebounds 39.5 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 7.5
Turnovers 12.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.8
Steals 7.2 5.6
Fouls 15.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 69.5
% of Possessions with BRY
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 20.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.4%
Turnover 16.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY
Shot Blocked 10.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 21.8%