NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF USF
Points 68.0 76.4
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 29.4
Points From Free Throws 9.9 17.6
Shooting WOF USF
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 55.5
Field Goal % 41.9% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 24.2
Free Throw % 61.9% 72.6%
Ball Control WOF USF
Rebounds 37.8 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.1
Turnovers 11.7 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.9
Steals 3.3 6.5
Fouls 17.4 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF USF
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 70.0
% of Possessions with WOF USF
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 32.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 25.0%
Turnover 16.8% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF USF
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 23.4%