NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU UVM
Points 58.8 69.6
Total Points   128.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 29.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 13.7
Shooting BU UVM
Field Goals Made 20.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 52.4
Field Goal % 36.4% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 26.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 10.5 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 19.1
Free Throw % 72.2% 71.9%
Ball Control BU UVM
Rebounds 35.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 5.5
Turnovers 9.2 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.7
Steals 5.1 5.4
Fouls 15.7 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Vermont

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU UVM
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 63.2
% of Possessions with BU UVM
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 35.7%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.8%
Turnover 13.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU UVM
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 17.1%