NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU HC
Points 71.4 65.6
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 24.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 10.7
Shooting BU HC
Field Goals Made 24.6 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 53.1
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 12.5 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 16.1
Free Throw % 72.2% 66.3%
Ball Control BU HC
Rebounds 35.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 5.7
Turnovers 7.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 5.9 3.7
Fouls 13.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU HC
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 62.5
% of Possessions with BU HC
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 29.2%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.8%
Turnover 10.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU HC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 17.5%