NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU HC
Points 69.1 66.9
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 27.7
Points From Free Throws 9.9 8.5
Shooting BU HC
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 53.0
Field Goal % 44.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 9.9 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 12.8
Free Throw % 66.9% 66.2%
Ball Control BU HC
Rebounds 35.7 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 5.5
Turnovers 8.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 5.8 4.0
Fouls 13.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU HC
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 60.7
% of Possessions with BU HC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 31.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.9%
Turnover 13.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU HC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 17.9%