NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU HC
Points 76.9 67.6
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 22.1
Points From Free Throws 10.3 12.3
Shooting BU HC
Field Goals Made 28.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 55.3
Field Goal % 52.8% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 61.5% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 10.3 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 15.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 77.9%
Ball Control BU HC
Rebounds 33.5 27.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 5.9
Turnovers 8.5 7.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.6
Steals 4.3 5.3
Fouls 13.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU HC
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 64.3
% of Possessions with BU HC
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.6%
Turnover 13.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU HC
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 18.0%