NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU L-MD
Points 68.7 61.7
Total Points   130.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 22.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 11.6
Shooting BU L-MD
Field Goals Made 24.3 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 52.1
Field Goal % 45.5% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 12.5 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 64.1%
Ball Control BU L-MD
Rebounds 33.6 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.8
Turnovers 9.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.7
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 15.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU L-MD
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 63.0
% of Possessions with BU L-MD
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.2%
Turnover 14.3% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 22.8%