NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring
Points 65.0 57.5
Total Points   122.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 18.1
Points From Free Throws 10.9 7.2
Shooting
Field Goals Made 23.1 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 52.1
Field Goal % 40.8% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.5% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 10.9 7.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 11.9
Free Throw % 68.9% 60.7%
Ball Control
Rebounds 37.0 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 7.3
Turnovers 11.7 14.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 7.2 5.3
Fouls 12.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 59.5
% of Possessions with
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 21.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 18.4%
Turnover 17.5% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 22.7%