NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU
Points 67.6 67.9
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 18.9
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.5
Shooting FDU
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 58.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 41.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.9
Free Throw % 68.9% 69.4%
Ball Control FDU
Rebounds 40.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.7
Turnovers 14.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.3
Steals 6.2 6.9
Fouls 15.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 70.5
% of Possessions with FDU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 19.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.9%
Turnover 19.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 25.5%