NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BU LAF
Points 62.5 61.8
Total Points   124.3
Points From 2-Pointers 26.8 28.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 23.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 10.4
Shooting BU LAF
Field Goals Made 21.1 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 54.5
Field Goal % 38.0% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 15.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 68.2%
Ball Control BU LAF
Rebounds 38.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 6.6
Turnovers 10.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.0
Steals 5.8 6.1
Fouls 14.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BU LAF
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 63.4
% of Possessions with BU LAF
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.0%
Turnover 15.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BU LAF
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 18.9%